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I’ve been going over some things in my mind lately, and I’ve decided to put them into list form here. It’s my list of political predictions for 2010. Some of these are obvious. Some might be more of a stretch. No matter what happens, 2010 is going to be an interesting year in politics, and I’m very much looking forward to it.
I don’t have inside information on any of these items. This is just my speculation at what will happen.
In Georgia
- Democrats in Georgia will pick up some House seats. I don’t know where or how many, but to think the Georgia Republicans can have all the chaos they’ve had lately and not lose seats is just not logical thinking.
- Johnny Isakson will have the same runoff opportunity that Saxby Chambliss had in 2008. At this point, I’d probably vote for Satan if he ran against Isakson.
- Taxes will rise. Our dollars are as weak for us as they are for the state. And since Georgia can’t just make more money like they do in Washington, it will need higher tax revenues to compensate for the ever-weakening dollar.
In Washington
- The Republicans will take the majority in the U.S. House.
- Harry Reid will lose his run for reelection. (I’m going way out on a limb there, huh?)
- The resulting power shift in the Democrat Party (after losing the House and Reid not returning) will cause chaos in the party, which will start a downhill trend for the Dems that will cost Obama the election in 2012 (unless he runs against Sarah Palin).
- Jim DeMint will no longer be the only consistent voice of reason in the Senate, as he will be joined by Rand Paul.
- There will be more bailouts of “too big to fail” companies that come with rules on how they are allowed to operate.
Across the Nation
- The Libertarian Party will see a 50% increase in votes over 2008 election numbers. I think this is a conservative estimate. It may approach a 75% increase if the Republicans nationwide continue to offer poor candidates.
- There will be more scares over terrorist plots (not involving airplanes) that will give gun grabbers a reason to push for more gun laws under the guise of keeping people safe and secure. As a result, we will have more gun laws, but we will be less safe and secure than we are now.
- The Tenth Amendment will be an issue of much discussion as states who can’t afford the mandates from health care legislation will have to consider rejecting it.
So that’s my list of political predictions for this year. What are yours?
{ 1 comment… read it below or add one }
Greetings All,
An interesting list, some spot on, some way off. As a Libertarian I don’t think we’ll see that kind of growth in our efforts. It would be nice, but the recent election over in Augusta indicates that the concept of republicans crossing over and supporting Libertarian candidates just doesn’t hold water. Taylor Bryant got 9.1% of the votes cast in State Senate District 22 and a cursory look at the precinct level tells you that the republican minority in Augusta sat on the couch. The good thing about it is that we now know that there is a viable Libertarian slice of that community that gets it. It’s up to the State LP to help the CSRA affiliate grow it’s numbers and prepare for the local races in Augusta this fall.
You already have an excellent choice to replace Republican Johnny Isakson. Libertarian Chuck Donovan has declared and he will get the nomination at this years Libertarian convention. Chuck is a sharp guy and will give Johnny nightmares in the general this fall. Like all Libertarian candidates, Chuck will be running an asymmetric campaign as we are long on ideas and ideals but chronically short of cash.
I don’t think you’ll see any change in Georgia as far as state house or state senate races are concerned. The republicans and democrats have split up Georgia quite nicely to ensure that change isn’t possible. There will be around 140 or so incumbents with no challengers on the ballot just like 2008. That won’t change until our fair state’s 1943 Jim Crow Ballot access laws are changed. And that ain’t gonna happen by any action we’ll see at the Capitol.
I do have a prediction of my own relating to the fall election in Georgia. I think that Libertarian John Monds, supported by Libertarian candidates for every state wide office on the ballot will break the 20% vote barrier in his run for the Governorship. That will be a event with monumental consequences for Georgia in 2012.